Archive for the ‘Advisors’ Category

AK In The News: Mutual Fund Industry’s Top Challenge

Wednesday, February 29th, 2012

Today’s Ignites (A Financial Times Service) highlights the results of their poll on the top challenges facing the mutual fund industry today. Respondents were given five choices to select from. The results on the top challenge were as follows:

  • Market volatility and economic uncertainty (43%)
  • Competition from ETFs (21%)
  • The proposed money market reforms (16%)
  • Tougher scrutiny by SEC, Finra (8%)
  • Encouraging flows into equity products (6%)

I was a little surprised by these results, as in my mind I have the top two answers reversed – with ETFs being the biggest threat. Interestingly, a similar poll done in February of last year indicated that 45% of respondents chose ETFs as the biggest threat, making it the most popular choice. (That poll did not include the economic uncertainty option.)

My thoughts on the results, as indicated and quoted in the article are:

“”Long-term, of course, economic uncertainty always will be a factor. But this uncertainty impacts all types of investments, not just mutual funds,” Klausner says. Competition from ETFs represents a more daunting challenge to the mutual fund industry than economic uncertainty because it is a specific, rather than a generalized threat, according to Klausner.

“Given the ongoing press about the underperformance of active management, I would think that ETFs, most of which are managed passively, would continue to be a large threat to mutual funds. This comes in conjunction with the growth of ETFs and the increase in the number and type of ETFs available: sector, industry, commodity, et ceterara,” he says.”

What do you think?

AK In The News: Talent Contest Tightens For High-End Advisors

Tuesday, February 14th, 2012

I was just quoted in an article in Fundfire (A Financial Times Service) which focused on two main points – the hiring prospects for high-end advisors in 2012 as well as the outlook for continued restructuring (code word for budget cuts and layoffs) at home offices in the brokerage community.

While I was not asked to comment on the first question, I agree with the gist of the article that 2012 will be another good year for hiring. The brokerage firms continue to recruit, understanding that wealth management will continue to be a driver for profitability (as they see investment banking revenues decline). And the RIA world, which has been in a growth mode, will continue to be in such a mode, as they continue to attempt to take market share.

As to whether or not the home office restructuring for brokerage firms is over, I disagree with the other gentlemen quoted, who feels that this downsizing has worked its way through the system.

To quote the article: “Not everyone shares this outlook, however. Various factors – such as market competition, evolving technology that automates more processes, pressure on fees from demanding clients, and the temptation to further streamline branches in congested markets – all will encourage more big-brokerage staffing cuts, says Andy Klausner, principal of AK Advisory Partners.

How can they be more profitable without cutting more people in this environment? he asks. I don’t see any reason why you won’t continue to consolidate branch operations. If you have four branches in Cleveland with four operations centers, that’s a place [firms may target]. I think we have more to go.” (I didn’t mean to pick on Cleveland – that is where I am from – I just used it as an example! Also, by operations centers, I am referring to the cages.)

What do you think?

Beware The Rise Of Advisor-As-PM Managed Accounts

Thursday, February 2nd, 2012

Having recently read a number of articles about the significant growth of advisor- or rep-as-PM (portfolio manager) managed accounts, a phenomenon that has actually been taking place since the 2008 financial crisis, I’ve been wondering what’s driving this trend – and do advisors really want to go there?

One such article detailed the rollout of a new trading technology platform at Merrill Lynch included the following two points:

  • More than 3,800 Merrill reps participate in this program, managing assets of about $88 billion.
  • A new survey from the Aite Group found that 42% of respondents think that this segment will be the fastest growing for clients with between $250,000 and $10 million in assets, which is well ahead of other fee- and no-fee-based options.

These accounts give the advisor more control over managing client accounts; in particular, they offer the opportunity to raise cash quickly. This feature is especially important during volatile markets. But, frankly, I don’t buy into this theory.

Top advisors retain control of asset allocation decisions regardless of the chosen investments; this is one of their value-added functions. Such control would include the client’s overall allocation to cash. Additionally, many investment mangers have altered their cash-raising capabilities in the face of the 2008 financial meltdown, making it easier for them to react to the market.

Why this trend then? Perhaps fees are one reason. Compensation in these accounts is generally higher to the advisor, since there is no outside investment manager involved. Fees in general are being squeezed today in the face of years of mediocre market returns. Positioning oneself to get a larger portion of the fee is one way to increase revenues.

Regardless of the reason, however, I would caution advisors that have moved, or are considering moving, the majority of their business into these types of accounts. Remember why traditional fee-based accounts have grown as they have. Hiring an outside investment manager somewhat shields the advisor from poor performance, in addition to putting them on the client’s side of the table. If an advisor hires a number of managers for a client, for example, and one begins to underperform, that manager is replaced – not the advisor.

This traditional model allows the advisor to concentrate on what most advisors do best – relationship management. It’s hard to prospect, market, service and manage investments all at the same time. It’s much more effective to hire a specialist to manage each portion of a client’s portfolio. Remember the theory of gaining control of the client by giving up control of the investments.

I don’t mean to infer that all advisors that participate in these programs are making a mistake. Some advisors truly have an aptitude for managing money. Even these advisors, however, should probably only be managing a portion of each client’s assets. Top advisors should diversify their books of business, just as they diversify a client’s portfolio.

There is a place for advisor-as-PM accounts, particularly in a partnership in which one partner can concentrate on this area. However, I question whether all the growth we are seeing in this area is a positive trend, and if advisors are doing themselves or their clients any favors by jumping on the bandwagon.

AK In The News: Active Management Down, But Not Out

Thursday, January 26th, 2012

Active management has unquestionably been under fire lately, especially since the vast majority of actively managed funds have underperformed the market the past few years. So is active management down and out, or just down? Ignites, a Financial Times Service, conducted a poll of its readers last week and roughly 83% of respondents felt that active management will come back; almost 800 people responded to the survey.

I was quoted in the article – and I agree – active management may be down but it is not out. My quote:

“It has unquestionably been a tough time for active management. Witness the outflows at American Funds and some other mutual fund complexes. I do agree that stockpickers will be back and some have actually done quite well despite the overall trend. At the end of the day, it is important to remember that it is a market of stocks. Some will do better than others based on company-specific characteristics and industry specifics.” I added “The rise of indexing and exchange-traded funds will continue, but portfolios still will be composed of both actively and passively managed funds.”

I also want to add that in the case of American Funds, which has been hit hard in the press, it’s also an issue of size. As any fund gets bigger it gets harder to outperform as they are forced to invest new cash regardless of their current outlook on the market. As they become larger, they become more like the market – and thus outperformance becomes more difficult.

So let’s be careful not to confuse size and underformance with the death of active management. This isn’t the first time that this discussion has taken place in down times, and it probably won’t be the last!

RIP Morgan Keegan

Thursday, January 19th, 2012

The old Morgan Keegan as we know it will soon be gone. Isn’t it ironic that the grand plan of management to resurrect the firm via venture capital financing was apparently sidetracked by the mess at MF Global among other things – when the reputation of MK was itself irrevocably harmed by its own financial mess with its RMK Funds.

The saddest thing for me is that the losers in this deal – the home office personnel of MK – are a great bunch of loyal employees and long-time friends. They are the people that are least able to afford losing their jobs, and since many have long-term ties to Memphis, the least able to pick-up and move to Florida. The other loser from this deal is the City of Memphis.

Sure, part of the deal included an undefined support center in Memphis. But I can guarantee you that it’s not going to be 900 or 1000 people for very long. The only way that a deal like this can make financial sense for Raymond James is going to be for them to consolidate operations, IT and some of the investment product areas among other support areas. Credit the folks at MK for getting some concessions so that Memphis does not lose all of its jobs. But in 12 or 18 months, when the deal gets closer to being done, the outcry over job losses will be far less than it would be today.

I do give MK upper management credit for being master negotiators even though they were not able to take over the firm themselves. The CEO of MK is now President of Raymond James and his old department, Fixed Income, is not surprisingly going to be headquartered in Memphis (as is Public Finance). So the top executives did okay for themselves. Anyone surprised?

For most financial advisors, the deal will work out just fine. In fact, a close friend who is an advisor at the firm said to me last week that Raymond James is one of the firms he would have considered going to. Advisors will be paid to stay; and if these offers are too low, they will leave and get paid by another firm. But most will continue on at the combined firm for now with only the interruption of new paperwork for their clients.

RIP Morgan Keegan – and good luck to the many loyal back office employees that made this firm great.

2012 Success – It’s As Easy as 1-2-3

Tuesday, January 10th, 2012

A new year brings new challenges.

For many it’s about the balance between growing the business on one hand and providing good client service on the other. Luckily, these choices are not mutually exclusive.

Finding a balance between your time, energy and focus may be easier than you think. Our newest White Paper, entitled “2012 Success – It’s As Easy As 1-2-3,” highlights three basic concepts that underlie successful businesses:

  • Differentiate yourself from the competition
  • Segregate your clients and prospects into niche market segments
  • Communicate consistently and effectively
Practitioners and businesses that follow a strategy that incorporates these principles will position themselves for success vis-a-vis their competition. However, it’s important to point out that including these principles is not enough – you must successfully implement them as well.

Click here
to see the complete White Paper.
Click here to see our 1Q2012 Unlocking Real Value newsletter.

Advisors – Be Patient – Social Media Works!

Wednesday, January 4th, 2012

2011 ended with a number of studies sighting advisor frustration with social media. For example, a study by the Aite Group concluded that advisors were not getting the desired benefits of better brand awareness, competitive differentiation and revenue growth. 20% of advisors surveyed said that social media was unimportant to them while another 40% said that they were neutral on social media.

My reaction? Be patient! There are two primary reasons for advisors to become engaged with social media – the aforementioned prospecting and branding and client servicing. Many advisors fail to see this second but very important use for social media. In fact, even if you never get a piece of new business from your social media efforts, yet are able to better serve your clients, I for one would argue that your social media efforts have been successful.

In today’s 24/7 viral news world, clients are demanding information when they want it and how they want it – it’s no longer good enough to dictate to clients when you will be calling or meeting with them. Social media provides a great outlet to get your ideas out to clients in a timely fashion, and it’s not a lot of  additional work to offer your clients multiple social media outlets – Facebook, Twitter, Google + – so that they can choose the one that they are most comfortable with. (As an aside, don’t let these social media efforts limit your face-to-face time with clients – it’s still important that you make the time to sit down with clients as often as possible.)

Also interestingly, of all of the social media sites followed by Aite Group, only LinkedIn increased its overall use between 2009 and 2011. LinkedIn does not, however, address the client servicing side of the social media question. What about e-mail marketing systems such as Constant Contact? To me, this is one of the easiest and most efficient ways to enter the social media game, and it allows you to not only provide clients with information, but also in a branded way!

Advisors did mention some positive feelings for client communications in the Alite Group survey, but it was relegated to the back of the headlines. I say move forward – come-up with a client servicing plan that makes sense and is flexible. The prospects will come, albeit more slowly. As they say, if you build it they will come.

AK In The News: 2012 Will Be Year of ….

Friday, December 30th, 2011

Readers were asked in a year-end poll by Ignites (a Financial Times Service) what they thought the main market trends of 2012 would be (they were given a list of items to choose from). The two top trends that they identified were 1) the return of individual investors into equities; and 2) the growth of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other passive investment strategies at the expense of mutual funds. I agree with them on the latter but not the former.

Investors continue to be fee-sensitive, and given the relatively poor performance of the equity markets for awhile now, the popularity of ETFs should continue to grow. After all, to many investors, if returns are going to be low, why reduce them further with higher cost mutual funds?

I am surprised that the number one answer  (28% v. 26%), however, was that individual investors would return to the market. I personally think that this is wishful thinking on the part of financial services professionals. As I state in the article, ” I think that the combination of global uncertainty (especially in Europe) and the election are going to make investors hesitant to get back into the markets. I think that the market will be flat for the year and then we might get a year-end rally after the election.”

What do you think? Click here to read the entire article.

Have a great New Year’s weekend. 2012 should be an interesting year.

Top Ten 2012 Predictions

Wednesday, December 21st, 2011

2011 has certainly been an interesting year – with many economic, financial and political issues unresolved as the year ends. What this bodes for next year is that 2012 will be another tumultuous year – in fact a year very much like this one.

In no particular order, therefore, my top ten predictions for 2012:

10 – The Presidential election is the Republicans to lose. I retain this view even as the Republicans (led by the House) are self-destructing and opening the door for Obama. If the candidate is Romney, Huntsman or someone with similar moderate views that can attract independents AND there is no third-party candidate, then Obama is out. If, on the other hand, the candidate is Gingrich, Paul, Bachman or some other candidate who can not attract independents AND/OR a third-party candidate emerges, then we will have four more years of Obama. I know that that is a lot of “ifs,” but we are still early in the race. My money is on a Romney presidency starting in 2013.

9 – The Democrats will retain control of the Senate, although with a smaller majority, in part because like in 2008, the Republicans will put up some unelectable candidates (can anyone say Rhode Island?). The Republicans will retain the House of Representatives, which will look pretty much the same as it does now. Sorry Nancy.

8 – The Supreme Court will uphold the legality of Obama’s Health Care plan, but this will make it an even more polarizing issue in the election (since the decision should come in the Spring). If a Republican is elected President, it will be continue as an even more contentious subject in 2013 and beyond, as the legislative branch will take the lead in repealing parts of the plan.

7 – The stock markets will end slightly up for the year, helped by a year-end relief rally after the election. Volatility should be relatively low, as many investors will stay on the sidelines because of all of the political uncertainty. Another “lost” year like this one. It will remain a stock pickers market – driven largely by earnings in the few sectors of the economy that will do well.

6 – The U.S. economy will not go into recession, though following continuing turmoil in Europe, will get dangerously close. Unemployment will dip somewhat then increase again to about 9% at election time because there will be no significant job bills enacted and political gridlock will dampen demand. Housing will remain in the dumps. The positive economic news of the past month is deceiving.

5 – Europe will go into recession (maybe not all countries but as a whole). There will have to be a number of emergency summits once again, as everyone realizes that the actions enacted in 2011 were only band-aid measures and that real problems remain. The divergence between the stronger Northern European countries and weaker Southern European ones will continue.

4 – The Euro will survive 2012 – barely – and I imagine a year from now the outlook for its continuation past 2012 will be very bleak. Back to those summits for a second – hopefully there won’t be 8 or 9 like there were this year!

3 – The Occupy movements will continue sporadically throughout the year as economic conditions stagnate. I don’t think they will pick-up significantly, however, and absent the emergence of any real leadership – to voice a unified concern or theme in a cohesive manner – the November elections might signal their end.

As for the financial services industry:

2 – At least one major brokerage firm will be sold or spun off by its bank-parent (this excludes Morgan Keegan; in this case, if MK is not sold by the end of the first quarter, I predict that Regions Financial itself will be gobbled up by a larger bank). The bank/brokerage marriages have in large part not worked, so 2012 could be the beginning of the end for many of these relationships. Hint – ML.

1 – The wirehouses will continue to lose advisors to the independent, RIA and semi-independent channels. The attractiveness of working for one of the big four is just not what it used to be – both from a reputational point of view as well as an ease of doing business one. The wirehouses aren’t going to disappear though – just continue to become less dominant.

In any case, 2012 should be another fun and interesting year.

Happy Holidays and a Happy and Healthy New Year to all – regardless of the macro-world, may 2012 bring you and your family health and prosperity.

AK In The News: RIA Growth To Continue

Thursday, December 8th, 2011

Today’s FundFire (an on-line service of the Financial Times) contains an article on the growth prospects for RIAs; click here to read the entire piece. While the article focuses on Focus Financial Partners, no pun intended, the comments are germane for other industry participants as well.

My comments center on a few primary themes, one related to the overall growth prospects for RIAs, and the other on how these firms are maintaining and in some cases increasing their competitiveness.

While there may have been some slowdown in the trend toward advisors going independent this year (depending on who you talk to and which studies you look at), this slowdown is more a symptom of the current financial uncertainty then a sign that the trend toward independence has reversed. What we learned in 2008 is that economic and market uncertainty, rather than signaling large moves in assets, leads to a period of inaction – many advisors don’t want to rock the boat and make decisions until the future becomes clearer.

This is the case for clients as well as advisors. The attractiveness of leaving a wirehouse for an RIA remains for advisors that either want an equity stake, as some of these firms are offering, are looking for more independence in the decision-making process and/or perhaps a chance to escape the reputational risk that hampers many of the wirehouses today. Now, I am not saying that the wirehouses are going away. Some advisors like the safety of the wirehouses, and the fact that they don’t have to make management and/or other far-reaching decisions. They are willing to put up with the increasing amounts of compliance and red tape.

The second point – competitiveness. Larger RIAs and aggregators, as the article points out, are increasing their product offerings – specifically in the areas of SMAs, UMAs and alternative investments. In many case, they are teaming with product providers. My comments here are that in many cases, it is easier for these RIAs to buy the product platforms as opposed to building them.

Their particular area of expertise is probably not in product development – so why force the issue? In my mind this situation is similar to many bank brokerage platforms, where the quickest way to grow and compete is to utilize existing products. The amount of money, time, and organization that it takes to build competitive investment products is daunting for firms that have never done it before.